Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Oct 29
9:00 Aug CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) +2.0 2.1 2.0
9:00 Aug CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) -0.2 0.0 0.0
10:00 Sep Pending Sales Index 108.7 107.3
10:00 Oct Consumer confidence 125.9 128.0 125.1
10:00 Sep Pending Home Sales (%) +1.5 0.9 1.6
Wednesday, Oct 30
8:15 Oct ADP National Employment (k) 125 120 135
8:30 Q3 GDP Advance (%) 1.9 1.6 2.0
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.500 - 1.750 1.625 1.875
Thursday, Oct 31
7:30 Oct Challenger layoffs (k) 50.275 41.557
8:30 Q3 Employment costs (%) 0.7 0.7 0.6
8:30 Q3 Employment Wages qq (%) 0.9 0.7
8:30 Q3 Employment Benefits qq (%) 0.6 0.5
8:30 Sep Personal Income (%) +0.3 0.3 0.4
8:30 Sep Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) +0.2 0.2 0.1
8:30 Sep PCE (y/y) (%) +1.3 1.4
8:30 Sep Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) +1.7 1.7 1.8
8:30 Sep Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.0 0.1 0.1
9:45 Oct Chicago PMI 43.2 48.0 47.1
Friday, Nov 01
8:30 Oct Private Payrolls (k) 131 80 114
8:30 Oct Non-farm payrolls (k) 128 89 136
8:30 Oct Manufacturing payrolls (k) -36 -50 -2
8:30 Oct Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.4 34.4
8:30 Oct Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.6 3.6 3.5
8:30 Oct Average earnings mm (%) 0.2 0.3 0.0
10:00 Oct ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.3 48.9 47.8
10:00 Oct ISM Mfg Prices Paid 45.5 49.9 49.7
10:00 Sep Construction spending (%) 0.5 0.2 0.1
Monday, Nov 04
9:45 Oct ISM-New York index 874.3 875.4
10:00 Sep Factory orders mm (%) -0.6 -0.5 -0.1
10:00 Oct Employment Trends 110.1 111.0
Tuesday, Nov 05
8:30 Sep International trade mm $ (bl) -52.5 -52.5 -54.9
10:00 Oct ISM N-Mfg PMI 54.7 53.5 52.6
10:00 Oct ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 57.0 55.0 55.2
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Wednesday, Nov 06
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2102.7 2066.0
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 518.7 519.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.98 4.05
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 241.0 247.2
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 3.6 2.2 2.6
8:30 Q3 Productivity Preliminary (%) -0.3 1.0 2.3
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 7.929 1.515 5.702
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 27
Thursday, Nov 07
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.689 1.683 1.690
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 211 215 218
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 19
15:00 Sep Consumer credit (bl) 9.51 15.00 17.90
Friday, Nov 08
10:00 Sep Wholesale inventories mm (%) -0.4 -0.3 -0.3
10:00 Sep Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.0 0.1 0.0
10:00 Nov Consumer Sentiment 95.7 95.9 95.5
10:00 Nov 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.4 2.3
10:00 Nov 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.5
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Nov 13
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 568.4 518.7
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 253.4 241.0
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2374.6 2102.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.03 3.98
8:30 Oct Core CPI (Annual) (%) +2.3 2.4 2.4
8:30 Oct Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) +0.4 0.3 0.0
14:00 Oct Federal budget, $ (bl) -134 -133.00 83.00
Thursday, Nov 14
8:30 Oct Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.2 -0.3
8:30 Oct Producer Prices (%) 0.3 -0.3
8:30 Oct Core Producer Prices YY (%) 1.5 2.0
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 215 211
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.687 1.689
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.649 7.929
Friday, Nov 15
8:30 Oct Retail Sales (%) 0.2 -0.3
8:30 Oct Export prices mm (%) -0.1 -0.2
8:30 Oct Import prices mm (%) -0.2 0.2
8:30 Nov NY Fed Manufacturing 5.00 4.00
9:15 Oct Capacity Utilization (%) 77.1 77.5
9:15 Oct Industrial Production (%) -0.4 -0.4
10:00 Sep Business Inventories (% ) 0.1 0.0
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 18
10:00 Nov NAHB housing market indx 71 71
Tuesday, Nov 19
8:30 Oct Build permits: change mm (%) -2.4
8:30 Oct House starts mm: change (%) -9.4
8:30 Oct Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.300 1.256
8:30 Oct Building permits: number (ml) 1.385 1.391
Thursday, Nov 21
8:30 Nov Philly Fed Business Index 7.2 5.6
10:00 Oct Existing home sales (ml) 5.43 5.38
10:00 Oct Exist. home sales % chg (%) -0.7 -2.2
10:00 Oct Leading index chg mm (%) -0.1 -0.1
Friday, Nov 22
9:45 Nov U Markit Comp Flash PMI 50.9
9:45 Nov U Markit Svcs PMI Flash 51.0 50.6
9:45 Nov U Markit Mfg PMI Flash 50.7 51.3
10:00 Nov Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.5
10:00 Nov Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.4
10:00 Nov Consumer Sentiment (ip) 95.8 95.7

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