Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Sep 04
10:00 Aug ISM Mfg Prices Paid 72.1 71.1 73.2
10:00 Aug ISM Manufacturing PMI 61.3 57.7 58.1
10:00 Jul Construction spending (%) 0.1 0.5 -1.1
15:30 Aug All car sales (ml) 5.14 5.32
15:30 Aug All truck sales (ml) 11.58 11.45
15:30 Aug Domestic car sales (ml) 3.77 3.90 3.93
15:30 Aug Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.37 9.25 9.14
15:30 Aug Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 16.72 16.80 16.77
Wednesday, Sep 05
8:30 Jul International trade mm $ (bl) -50.1 -50.3 -46.3
9:45 Aug ISM-New York index 810.7 797.5
Thursday, Sep 06
7:30 Aug Challenger layoffs (k) 38.472 27.122
8:15 Aug ADP National Employment (k) 163 190 219
8:30 Q2 Productivity Revised (%) 2.9 3.0 2.9
8:30 Q2 Labor Costs Revised (%) -1.0 -0.9 -0.9
10:00 Jul Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.2 0.4
10:00 Jul Durable goods, R mm (%) -1.7 -1.7
10:00 Jul Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -1.0 -1.0
10:00 Jul Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) 0.1 0.2
10:00 Jul Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) 1.6 1.4
10:00 Aug ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 60.7 56.9 56.5
10:00 Aug ISM N-Mfg PMI 58.5 56.8 55.7
10:00 Jul Factory orders mm (%) -0.8 -0.6 0.7
Friday, Sep 07
8:30 Aug Average earnings mm (%) 0.4 0.2 0.3
8:30 Aug Private Payrolls (k) 204 190 170
8:30 Aug Non-farm payrolls (k) 201 191 157
8:30 Aug Manufacturing payrolls (k) -3 24 37
8:30 Aug Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.5 34.5 34.5
8:30 Aug Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.9 3.8 3.9
Monday, Sep 10
10:00 Aug Employment Trends 110.88 109.9
15:00 Jul Consumer credit (bl) +16.64 13.00 10.21
Tuesday, Sep 11
10:00 Jul Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.6 0.7 0.7
10:00 Jul Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.0 0.3 -0.1
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 35
Wednesday, Sep 12
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 233.5 231.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 884.3 940.0
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 337.4 343.5
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.84 4.80
8:30 Aug Producer Prices (%) -0.1 0.2 0.0
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices MM (%) -0.1 0.2 0.1
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.3 2.7 2.7
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 1.250 1.321 1.845
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 6.163 1.446 3.119
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -5.296 -0.805 -4.302
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 23
Thursday, Sep 13
8:30 Aug Real weekly earnings mm (%) +0.1 0.1 -0.2
8:30 Aug CPI mm, sa (%) +0.2 0.3 0.2
8:30 Aug Core CPI Year/Year (%) +2.2 2.4 2.4
8:30 Aug CPI yy, nsa (%) +2.7 2.8 2.9
8:30 Aug Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.1 0.2 0.2
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 204 210 203
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 15
14:00 Aug Federal budget, $ (bl) -214 -156.50 -77.00
Friday, Sep 14
8:30 Aug Export prices mm (%) -0.1 0.0 -0.5
8:30 Aug Retail Sales (%) +0.1 0.4 0.5
8:30 Aug Import prices mm (%) -0.6 -0.2 0.0
9:15 Aug Capacity Utilization (%) 78.1 78.2 78.1
9:15 Aug Industrial Production (%) +0.4 0.3 0.1
10:00 Sep Consumer Sentiment 100.8 96.6 96.2
10:00 Sep 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.8 3.0
10:00 Sep 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.4 2.6
10:00 Jul Business Inventories (% ) +0.6 0.6 0.1
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Sep 17
8:30 Sep NY Fed Manufacturing 19.0 22.60 25.60
Tuesday, Sep 18
10:00 Sep NAHB housing market indx 67 66 67
Wednesday, Sep 19
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 337.4
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 233.5
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 884.3
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.84
8:30 Q2 Current account (bl) -103.5 -124.1
8:30 Aug Building permits: number (ml) 1.310 1.303
8:30 Aug Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.235 1.168
8:30 Aug House starts mm: change (%) 0.9
8:30 Aug Build permits: change mm (%) 0.9
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -0.104 1.250
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -2.741 -5.296
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 0.651 6.163
Thursday, Sep 20
8:30 Sep Philly Fed Business Index 17.0 11.9
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 210 204
10:00 Aug Exist. home sales % chg (%) 0.3 -0.7
10:00 Aug Existing home sales (ml) 5.35 5.34
10:00 Aug Leading index chg mm (%) 0.5 0.6
13:00 10-yr TIPS Auction (bl) 11
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Sep 25
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) 0.5 0.5
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.5
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 6.2 6.3
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.2 0.1
10:00 Sep Consumer confidence 131.3 133.4
Wednesday, Sep 26
10:00 Aug New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.637 0.627
10:00 Aug New home sales chg mm (%) 2.2 -1.7
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.875 1.875
Thursday, Sep 27
8:30 Q2 GDP Final (%) 4.2 4.2
8:30 Aug Durable goods (%) 1.7 -1.7
8:30 Aug Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.4 1.6
10:00 Aug Pending Sales Index 106.2
10:00 Aug Pending Home Sales (%) 0.3 -0.7
Friday, Sep 28
8:30 Aug Personal Income (%) 0.4 0.3
8:30 Aug Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.4 0.4
8:30 Aug PCE (y/y) (%) 2.3
8:30 Aug Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.2
8:30 Aug Core PCE (y/y) (%) 2.0 2.0
9:45 Sep Chicago PMI 63.8 63.6
10:00 Sep U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.4
10:00 Sep U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 96.0 100.8
10:00 Sep U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.8

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